Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.017170 3.235602 3.470235 3.742446 4.051404 4.393398 4.803721
2026-01-25 2.949418 3.297324 3.698394 4.202117 4.828614 5.597651 6.639292
2026-02-01 2.624962 2.995822 3.438958 4.019459 4.779336 5.771138 7.222669
2026-02-08 2.373518 2.747069 3.204549 3.821922 4.660731 5.807599 7.592761
2026-02-15 2.234223 2.620412 3.104654 3.777427 4.726351 6.087891 8.354094
2026-02-22 2.102651 2.491425 2.987918 3.693773 4.720012 6.253086 8.958759
2026-03-01 1.971288 2.353199 2.847514 3.562397 4.625903 6.265180 9.298146
2026-03-08 1.844817 2.213984 2.696441 3.402915 4.471870 6.158809 9.396209
2026-03-15 1.784759 2.159113 2.655538 3.396425 4.547299 6.432536 10.273845
2026-03-22 1.726688 2.103440 2.609460 3.377501 4.599151 6.670498 11.141560
2026-03-29 1.671688 2.048995 2.561538 3.351350 4.635092 6.882933 12.014631
2026-04-05 1.647448 2.035291 2.569921 3.410255 4.816008 7.388196 13.751220
2026-04-12 1.617086 2.016693 2.577320 3.480094 5.045561 8.077527 16.456848
2026-04-19 1.674169 2.125504 2.780442 3.886487 5.950493 10.473072 26.919904
2026-04-26 1.585219 2.018282 2.650111 3.725447 5.757052 10.306733 27.777166
2026-05-03 1.499630 1.912580 2.517036 3.550653 5.518233 9.984412 27.740584
2026-05-10 1.452038 1.860803 2.464668 3.511187 5.546859 10.353079 31.605681
2026-05-17 1.400002 1.800255 2.395443 3.436897 5.494859 10.498363 34.579790
2026-05-24 1.341813 1.728473 2.305404 3.319976 5.341428 10.333505 35.521557
2026-05-31 1.281209 1.651291 2.204058 3.177626 5.122294 9.947969 34.662027
2026-06-07 1.253934 1.623249 2.179573 3.171824 5.195908 10.427148 41.005757
2026-06-14 1.225922 1.593043 2.150167 3.154899 5.243148 10.844628 48.227550
2026-06-21 1.198160 1.562252 2.118437 3.131501 5.273222 11.220762 56.681580